Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.060298 0.068273 0.076447 0.085421 0.094966 0.104788 0.115631
2025-07-27 0.048995 0.060981 0.073885 0.088669 0.105008 0.122392 0.142173
2025-08-03 0.040164 0.054369 0.070318 0.089228 0.110742 0.134196 0.161449
2025-08-10 0.033955 0.049631 0.067898 0.090188 0.116145 0.144981 0.179020
2025-08-17 0.028511 0.045018 0.064965 0.089962 0.119687 0.153250 0.193405
2025-08-24 0.022655 0.039142 0.059894 0.086656 0.119173 0.156496 0.201739
2025-08-31 0.018209 0.034529 0.055922 0.084271 0.119399 0.160311 0.210475
2025-09-07 0.015527 0.031986 0.054331 0.084605 0.122711 0.167596 0.223114
2025-09-14 0.013656 0.030370 0.053785 0.086120 0.127358 0.176386 0.237459
2025-09-21 0.012792 0.030162 0.055068 0.089942 0.134828 0.188540 0.255773
2025-09-28 0.011188 0.028586 0.054321 0.091000 0.138768 0.196392 0.268959
2025-10-05 0.011471 0.030118 0.057986 0.097937 0.150159 0.213319 0.293008
2025-10-12 0.008954 0.026733 0.054588 0.095554 0.149982 0.216534 0.301183
2025-10-19 0.008167 0.026316 0.055529 0.099098 0.157487 0.229297 0.321016
2025-10-26 0.006813 0.024613 0.054404 0.099705 0.161139 0.237283 0.335084
2025-11-02 0.005727 0.023228 0.053640 0.100729 0.165276 0.245835 0.349820
2025-11-09 0.004568 0.021426 0.052064 0.100489 0.167666 0.252151 0.361793
2025-11-16 0.003114 0.018479 0.048354 0.096966 0.165523 0.252636 0.366508
2025-11-23 0.002090 0.016152 0.045435 0.094422 0.164559 0.254513 0.372857
2025-11-30 0.001571 0.015030 0.044509 0.094778 0.167490 0.261325 0.385296
2025-12-07 0.001250 0.014411 0.044435 0.096395 0.172134 0.270329 0.400469
2025-12-14 0.001165 0.014645 0.045949 0.100467 0.180194 0.283760 0.421196
2025-12-21 0.000879 0.013919 0.045587 0.101595 0.184143 0.291871 0.435278